Short Interest Up, Matching Active Long Interest

RIVN is a Crowded Shorts candidate, with 21.2% of its float sold short—up from 15% a year ago, signaling elevated short interest % of float and growing short-selling sentiment data. The short position matches the long position, causing equilibrium.

The stock has been range-bound between $10 and $17, reflecting limited directional conviction despite rising short interest analytics.

RIVN’s crowded nature is reflected in its Crowded Score of 70. Its Short Squeeze Score—calculated as the Crowded Score plus recent short-side P&L—is currently 80, driven by persistent crowded shorts data.

Despite the Short Squeeze Score exceeding 70, there hasn’t been a true squeeze. Short interest data dropped by more than 10% only once—and that occurred during a declining market, not a rally-driven squeeze, indicating low short squeeze risk.

As noted last year, automotive stocks globally faced heightened short-selling pressure, and RIVN emerged as a Battleground Stock and key target.

The stock borrow rate remains effectively zero, reflecting ample availability despite elevated short interest analytics—a signal of low utilization rate and minimal securities lending revenue.

Historical volatility has been trending downward, currently sitting around 50.

RIVN’s historical volatility is 50%—well below the Battleground Stocks average of 69%. Its implied volatility is 58%, also below the 66% average, suggesting lower days to cover and reduced short squeeze risk.

RIVN’s options are trading 16% rich—substantially higher than the Battleground Stock average near 0%, indicating expected increased volatility. The market expects higher volatility

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