Author:
Leon Gross, Director of Research
AI infrastructure is decoupling from NDX, with performance driven by specific catalysts in SanDisk (SNDK) Dell and Intel (INTC)
Significant YTD and recent gains are fundamental wins, including INTC’s "Terafab" expansion and DELL’s recent dividend hikes and buybacks.
Rare squeeze scores above 70 for blue-chip tech show that recent moves have caused marked-to-market losses in names that aren’t that crowded except DELL.
While AI infrastructure remains a primary market theme, the sector is currently underperforming the NDX by 5%.
SanDisk (SNDK) is up 183% YTD and 23% MTD, with short interest remaining relatively high despite the rally.
Intel (INTC) is up 60% YTD and 33% MTD, even as short interest trends lower.
Dell (DELL) is up 42% YTD and 23% combined in March and April, with short interest analytics peaking at recent highs.
This price action is happening while the NDX/QQQ remains flat, suggesting this is not a broad market or beta story, but rather a huge divergence between individual stocks.
SNDK has emerged as the biggest winner, driven by surging demand for flash memory in AI data centers.
INTC is benefiting from the Terafab initiative with Elon Musk (Tesla and SpaceX), a Google deal, and the repurchase of its Irish foundry stake from Apollo.
DELL reported AI server revenue that doubled, fueling strong earnings, a dividend hike, and a share buyback.
This volatility has caused S3 short squeeze scores to rise above 70—a rare occurrence for blue-chip tech stocks. While most are not excessively crowded and are driven by price action, Dell stands out with a short interest % of float at 8%.
SNDK was in short squeeze territory in the fall and May, whereas Dell reached this level recently and INTC peaked briefly in March.
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