Squeezable U.S. Shorts

    Author:

    Ihor Dusaniwsky

    Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

    Matthew Unterman

    Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

    April 12, 2023

    The U.S. market has risen substantially over the last thirty days (S&P 500 +6.4%, Nasdaq +8.0% & Russell 3000 +5.8%) which has made short positions more crowded and more squeezable as the mark-to-market value of shorted shares increase. Mark-to-market losses on the short side may force some short sellers trim or exit their positions.

    S3’s Squeeze Score overlays the significant components for a squeeze, higher financing costs and unrealized losses, to our Crowded Score to identify shorted stocks with higher short-side volatility and identifies stocks that have the necessary conditions to be “squeezed”. Squeeze Scores of 70-100 identify squeezable stocks, and scores over 90 have a significantly higher risk of a squeeze and the potential for the resulting buy-to-covers to pushing stock prices even higher.

    Most Squeezable U.S. Stocks

    Ticker

    Short Interest

    Squeeze Score

    COINBASE GLOBAL INC

    COIN US

    $ 2,711,105,806

    100.00

    CARMAX INC

    KMX US

    $ 1,795,142,261

    100.00

    GAMESTOP CORP

    GME US

    $ 1,315,335,843

    100.00

    MICROSTRATEGY INC

    MSTR US

    $ 1,118,506,975

    100.00

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT

    AMC US

    $ 748,958,559

    100.00

    TG THERAPEUTICS

    TGTX US

    $ 591,720,414

    100.00

    UPSTART HOLDINGS INC

    UPST US

    $ 499,897,828

    100.00

    CARVANA CO

    CVNA US

    $ 484,992,417

    100.00

    MARATHON DIGITAL HLDGS INC

    MARA US

    $ 444,965,574

    100.00

    RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC

    RIOT US

    $ 438,766,451

    100.00

    ROCKET COMPANIES INC

    RKT US

    $ 355,451,000

    100.00

    NOVAVAX INC

    NVAX US

    $ 332,003,926

    100.00

    EVGO INC

    EVGO US

    $ 191,894,553

    100.00

    ARCUTIS BIOTHERAPEUTICS

    ARQT US

    $ 188,526,730

    100.00

    DESKTOP METAL INC

    DM US

    $ 169,130,967

    100.00

    TELLURIAN INC

    TELL US

    $ 149,236,534

    100.00

    SANA BIOTECHNOLOGY INC

    SANA US

    $ 113,312,137

    100.00

    UWM HLDGS CORP

    UWMC US

    $ 106,050,235

    100.00

    Recent mark-to-market (unrealized losses) are the primary driver for a stock to be squeezed. The 100/100 Squeeze Score stocks with the largest thirty-day mark-to-market losses are:

    Squeezable Stock 30 Day MTM P\L

    Ticker

    Squeeze Score

    Short Interest

    30D MTM P\L %

    RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC

    RIOT US

    100.00

    $ 438,766,451

    -80.26%

    MARATHON DIGITAL HLDGS INC

    MARA US

    100.00

    $ 444,965,574

    -59.11%

    MICROSTRATEGY INC

    MSTR US

    100.00

    $ 1,118,506,975

    -51.83%

    TG THERAPEUTICS

    TGTX US

    100.00

    $ 591,720,414

    -51.48%

    NOVAVAX INC

    NVAX US

    100.00

    $ 332,003,926

    -39.07%

    TELLURIAN INC

    TELL US

    100.00

    $ 149,236,534

    -31.81%

    CARVANA CO

    CVNA US

    100.00

    $ 484,992,417

    -29.36%

    GAMESTOP CORP

    GME US

    100.00

    $ 1,315,335,843

    -25.82%

    COINBASE GLOBAL INC

    COIN US

    100.00

    $ 2,711,105,806

    -25.20%

    ROCKET COMPANIES INC

    RKT US

    100.00

    $ 355,451,000

    -20.93%

    UWM HLDGS CORP

    UWMC US

    100.00

    $ 106,050,235

    -16.54%

    SANA BIOTECHNOLOGY INC

    SANA US

    100.00

    $ 113,312,137

    -15.22%

    CARMAX INC

    KMX US

    100.00

    $ 1,795,142,261

    -14.21%

    UPSTART HOLDINGS INC

    UPST US

    100.00

    $ 499,897,828

    -13.63%

    DESKTOP METAL INC

    DM US

    100.00

    $ 169,130,967

    -11.52%

    EVGO INC

    EVGO US

    100.00

    $ 191,894,553

    -10.97%

    ARCUTIS BIOTHERAPEUTICS

    ARQT US

    100.00

    $ 188,526,730

    -8.91%

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT

    AMC US

    100.00

    $ 748,958,559

    -2.42%

    But a mark-to-market loss is not the only thing that takes out of profits, high stock borrow fees can add significant costs to a short trade and may even turn a profitable trade into a loser. The 100/100 Squeeze Score stocks with the highest stock borrow rates are:

    Squeezable Stock Borrow Fees

    Ticker

    Short Interest

    Borrow Fee

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT

    AMC US

    $ 748,958,559

    237.82%

    EVGO INC

    EVGO US

    $ 191,894,553

    77.57%

    UPSTART HOLDINGS INC

    UPST US

    $ 499,897,828

    67.07%

    NOVAVAX INC

    NVAX US

    $ 332,003,926

    54.32%

    MARATHON DIGITAL HLDGS INC

    MARA US

    $ 444,965,574

    18.07%

    GAMESTOP CORP

    GME US

    $ 1,315,335,843

    11.57%

    CARVANA CO

    CVNA US

    $ 484,992,417

    10.82%

    DESKTOP METAL INC

    DM US

    $ 169,130,967

    10.07%

    ROCKET COMPANIES INC

    RKT US

    $ 355,451,000

    9.07%

    MICROSTRATEGY INC

    MSTR US

    $ 1,118,506,975

    5.82%

    RIOT BLOCKCHAIN INC

    RIOT US

    $ 438,766,451

    5.82%

    UWM HLDGS CORP

    UWMC US

    $ 106,050,235

    5.57%

    COINBASE GLOBAL INC

    COIN US

    $ 2,711,105,806

    4.32%

    SANA BIOTECHNOLOGY INC

    SANA US

    $ 113,312,137

    0.82%

    TELLURIAN INC

    TELL US

    $ 149,236,534

    0.45%

    ARCUTIS BIOTHERAPEUTICS

    ARQT US

    $ 188,526,730

    0.30%

    TG THERAPEUTICS

    TGTX US

    $ 591,720,414

    0.30%

    CARMAX INC

    KMX US

    $ 1,795,142,261

    0.30%

    There are squeezable stocks that do not have the top 100/100 Squeeze Score. The following stocks are crowded shorts with large recent mark-to-market losses that are also squeeze candidates.

    Squeezable Stocks

    Ticker

    Short Interest

    Squeeze Score

    AGILON HEALTH INC

    AGL US

    $ 1,048,089,880

    97.50

    RELAY THERAPEUTICS

    RLAY US

    $ 327,394,208

    97.50

    WORLD WRESTLING ENT

    WWE US

    $ 796,849,537

    95.00

    CINEMARK HLDGS

    CNK US

    $ 394,002,960

    90.00

    CUTERA INC

    CUTR US

    $ 126,250,041

    90.00

    PARAMOUNT GLOBAL B

    PARA US

    $ 2,000,003,079

    87.50

    LYFT INC

    LYFT US

    $ 546,680,935

    80.00

    IONQ INC

    IONQ US

    $ 138,246,112

    80.00

    ENOVIX CORP

    ENVX US

    $ 306,030,726

    80.00

    While high Squeeze Scores do not guarantee a stock squeeze – a stock cannot be squeezed unless it has a higher Squeeze Score. The main reason an investor\trader exits a short position is because they are forced to due to large losses – they may decide to reduce a short position due to portfolio management (buying-to-cover to realize gains as a position grows near risk or concentration limits or reaches expected Alpha) but no-one is forced to exit a winning trade.

    Our Blacklight SaaS platform and Black App provides an up-to-date view of short selling and short covering on an equity, sector, index, or country-wide basis allowing investors\traders to better manage their existing long and short positions.


    The Black MaP and Black App products provide a total view of long and short positioning in the market with a breakdown between Active\Passive long investors, 24 Fund type entities, over 50k securities globally across 108 countries and data from 58 regulatory exchanges.

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