Author:
Ihor Dusaniwsky
Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
Matthew Unterman
Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
We follow 1,871 SPAC securities (equities and warrants) that have short interest. Total short interest in the SPAC sector had been declining in late 2021, but we have seen a slight bump up in short selling in the sector recently. However, Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC) remains the only SPAC with over $100 million of short interest. Total SPAC short interest is now $957 million, an increase of +$116 million over the last thirty days.
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SPAC Short Interest
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
12.98%
11.49%
76.57%
$323,728,355
2
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
7.75%
7.19%
2.07%
$68,517,692
3
PERSHING SQUARE TONTINE HLDGS
PSTH
0.84%
0.84%
0.30%
$33,374,684
4
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
13.05%
11.55%
11.07%
$31,943,756
5
FAR PEAK ACQ CORP
FPAC
4.19%
4.02%
2.57%
$23,582,531
6
POWER DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE ACQ CORP
XPDI
5.93%
5.60%
1.82%
$19,915,319
7
CITIC CAPITAL ACQ CORP
CCAC
6.78%
6.35%
3.32%
$17,558,484
8
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP VI
IPOF
1.49%
1.47%
0.94%
$17,047,720
9
PIONEER MERGER CORP
PACX
3.74%
3.60%
4.82%
$14,636,388
10
CONCORD ACQ CORP
CND
5.04%
4.80%
5.07%
$14,090,237
11
OMNICHANNEL ACQ CORP
OCA
5.83%
5.51%
3.57%
$11,986,287
12
IVANHOE CAPITAL ACQ CORP
IVAN
3.93%
3.78%
4.07%
$10,727,727
13
SPORTS ENTERTAINMENT ACQ CORP
SEAH
2.34%
2.28%
1.57%
$10,447,513
14
GORES METROPOULOS II INC
GMII
2.77%
2.69%
10.32%
$10,194,056
15
TAILWIND TWO ACQ CORP
TWNT
2.89%
2.81%
0.69%
$9,860,103
16
ARYA SCIENCES ACQ CORP IV
ARYD
6.87%
6.43%
9.32%
$9,629,458
17
SUPERNOVA PARTNERS ACQ CO II
SNII
2.82%
2.75%
0.30%
$9,464,236
18
COHN ROBBINS HLDGS CORP
CRHC
1.14%
1.12%
1.45%
$9,199,687
19
LONGVIEW ACQUISITION CORP II
LGV
1.35%
1.33%
1.20%
$8,994,594
20
TPG PACE BENEFICIAL FINANCE CORP
TPGY
2.43%
2.37%
9.07%
$8,356,729
Total SPAC Sector
-
6.62%
5.97%
28.52%
$957,391,294
The SPAC sector’s average Short Interest % Float is 6.62%, while the average S3 SI % Float of 5.97% (which includes the synthetic longs created by every short sale in the trade float denominator) with an average stock borrow fee of 28.52%. In contrast, stocks in the U.S. have a total short interest of $975 billion, SI % Float of 4.54%, S3 SI % Float of 4.11% and an average stock borrow fee of 0.62%.
Total short interest in the SPAC sector has increased from $841 million to $957 million over the last 30 days. This +$116 million increase consisted of a +$144 million change in market value due to stock price increases and -$28 million of new short covering.
There are no SPACs with over $10 million on new short selling over the last month as SPAC stock prices were relatively stable. Excluding the $148 million of mark-to-market increase in DWAC, the total mark-to-market change in the remaining 1,740 SPACs and warrants was -$3.4 million. If price volatility returns to the SPAC sector, we should see more shorting and covering in the sector.
And SPAC short covering was also muted over the last thirty days with only two SPACs with more than $10 million of buy-to-covers, Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC) and Genesis Growth Tech Acquisition Corp (GGAAU).
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SPAC Short Interest
Ticker
Short Interest
30D Ch Shares Shorted*
1
TAILWIND TWO ACQ CORP
TWNT
$9,860,103
$6,393,228
2
LONGVIEW ACQUISITION CORP II
LGV
$8,994,594
$5,305,341
3
MERIDA MERGER CORP I
MCMJ
$6,819,853
$4,711,750
4
ATLANTIC COASTAL ACQ CORP
ACAH
$4,826,382
$4,663,845
5
NORTHERN STAR INVESTMENT CORP II
NSTB
$5,965,377
$3,526,537
6
OMNICHANNEL ACQ CORP
OCA
$11,986,287
$3,490,321
7
TREBIA ACQ CORP
TREB
$5,247,608
$3,290,078
8
PERSHING SQUARE TONTINE HLDGS
PSTH
$33,374,684
$3,132,070
9
VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQ I CORP
VHNAU
$4,026,504
$3,060,835
10
NORTH MOUNTAIN MERGER CORP
NMMC
$3,868,541
$2,848,874
* Represents dollar value of the change in shares shorted, calculated by # of shares shorted multiplied by stock price as of 01.20.22
#
SPAC Short Interest
Ticker
Short Interest
30D Ch Shares Shorted*
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
$323,728,355
($27,941,974)
2
GENESIS GROWTH TECH ACQ CORP
GGAAU
$5,614
($26,074,249)
3
FTAC HERA ACQUISITION CORP
HERA
$956,770
($5,904,238)
4
EVEREST CONSOLIDATOR ACQ CORP
MNTN/U
$171,413
($5,420,181)
5
SCION TECH GROWTH I
SCOA
$216,044
($4,465,274)
6
RXR ACQUISITION CORP
RXRA
$267,909
($3,350,698)
7
SUPERNOVA PARTNERS ACQ CO II
SNII
$9,464,236
($2,610,676)
8
CF ACQ CORP VI
CFVI
$3,579,079
($2,516,560)
9
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP VI
IPOF
$17,047,720
($2,216,962)
10
SVF INVESTMENT CORP
SVFA
$3,200,332
($2,022,868)
* Represents dollar value of the change in shares shorted, calculated by # of shares shorted multiplied by stock price as of 01.20.22
SPAC short sellers were down -$138 million, -16.52%, in net-of-financing mark-to-market losses over the last 30 days. Surprisingly, profitable SPAC shorts outnumbers unprofitable SPAC shorts by almost 2-1. But the average gain for the profitable trades was +2.68% versus -26.60% for the unprofitable trades. As can be seen in the charts below, the total return for the unprofitable trades was skewed by the -$140 million mark-to-market loss in DWAC.
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SPAC 30 Day MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Short Interest
30D MTM
P\L $
30D MTM
P\L %
1
GORES METROPOULOS II INC
GMII
$11,426,241
$1,489,774
13.04%
2
POWER DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE ACQ CORP
XPDI
$18,697,432
$990,317
5.30%
3
TREBIA ACQ CORP
TREB
$4,851,843
$793,008
16.34%
4
ADTHEORENT HOLDINGS CO INC
ADTH
$981,766
$562,106
57.25%
5
CONCORD ACQ CORP
CND
$14,668,012
$546,393
3.73%
6
SUPERNOVA PARTNERS ACQ CO II
SNII
$11,257,619
$342,389
3.04%
7
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
$5,159,386
$310,936
6.03%
8
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP VI
IPOF
$16,506,932
$260,578
1.58%
9
FAR PEAK ACQ CORP
FPAC
$23,665,917
$234,273
0.99%
10
BAKKT HOLDINGS INC WARRANT
BKKT/WS
$263,852
$222,277
84.24%
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SPAC 30 Day MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Short Interest
30D MTM
P\L $
30D MTM
P\L %
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
$209,860,878
($140,415,844)
-66.91%
2
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP WARRANT
DWACW
$1,136,991
($1,358,090)
-119.45%
3
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWACU
$1,667,831
($1,073,090)
-64.34%
4
PERSHING SQUARE TONTINE HLDGS
PSTH
$31,987,554
($348,331)
-1.09%
5
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
$66,755,026
($200,224)
-0.30%
6
CF ACQ CORP VI
CFVI
$4,043,560
($187,362)
-4.63%
7
GREENROSE ACQUISITION CORP
GNRS
$466,182
($94,263)
-20.22%
8
CITIC CAPITAL ACQ CORP
CCAC
$15,632,269
($82,666)
-0.53%
9
GENESIS GROWTH TECH ACQ CORP
GGAAU
$6,959,023
($67,444)
-0.97%
10
OMNICHANNEL ACQ CORP
OCA
$10,099,673
($62,097)
-0.61%
The lack of overall stock borrow supply in the SPAC sector is highlighted in the high stock borrow fees for some of the securities in the sector. Average stock borrow fees in the sector have risen +30% over the last thirty days to 28.72% fee.
Shorting SPACs has a peculiar issue compared to shorting most other larger cap securities. Due to the relatively high percentage of retail long shareholders there is a lack of stock loan supply from the start. Retail shareholders are not usually in stock lending programs and tend to have fully paid holdings and do not use margin, which limits the capabilities of brokers using their positions as collateral and lending out their shares. In addition to the elevated level of retail (non-lending) long shareholders is the fact that SPAC securities are not in indexes and therefore not held in size by longer term institutional long shareholders (such as pension funds, mutual funds, ETF providers, etc.) who provide most of the lendable liquidity in the stock loan market. With these two strikes against them, short sellers may have a challenging time locating the more popular SPAC stock borrows to settle short sales and if they do, rates on those stock borrows are usually more expensive than traditional equities.
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SPAC Short Interest
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
12.98%
11.49%
76.57%
$323,728,355
2
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWACU
0.09%
0.09%
48.82%
$2,709,659
3
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP WARRANT
DWACW
0.00%
0.00%
33.07%
$2,565,642
4
VAHANNA TECH EDGE ACQ I CORP
VHNAU
2.00%
1.96%
13.32%
$4,026,504
5
TLGY ACQ CORP
TLGYU
1.36%
1.34%
13.32%
$3,141,276
6
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
13.05%
11.55%
11.07%
$31,943,756
7
ARTISAN ACQ CORP
ARTA
0.45%
0.44%
10.57%
$1,133,028
8
GORES METROPOULOS II INC
GMII
2.77%
2.69%
10.32%
$10,194,056
9
MERIDA MERGER CORP I
MCMJ
5.89%
5.56%
9.57%
$6,819,853
10
ARYA SCIENCES ACQ CORP IV
ARYD
6.87%
6.43%
9.32%
$9,629,458
11
TPG PACE BENEFICIAL FINANCE CORP
TPGY
2.43%
2.37%
9.07%
$8,356,729
12
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
14.70%
12.82%
8.57%
$5,452,263
13
NOVUS CAPITAL CORP II
NXU
1.79%
1.76%
6.32%
$5,059,587
14
MEDTECH ACQ CORP
MTAC
1.57%
1.54%
6.07%
$3,882,909
15
MUDRICK CAPITAL ACQ CORP II
MUDS
1.17%
1.15%
5.82%
$3,675,003
16
QUEENS GAMBIT GROWTH CAPITAL
GMBT
0.43%
0.43%
5.82%
$1,477,328
17
NORTH MOUNTAIN MERGER CORP
NMMC
2.97%
2.88%
5.57%
$3,868,541
18
BURGUNDY TECHNOLOGY ACQ CORP
BTAQ
0.52%
0.52%
5.57%
$1,807,917
19
CONCORD ACQ CORP
CND
5.04%
4.80%
5.07%
$14,090,237
20
VELOCITY ACQ CORP
VELO
1.49%
1.47%
5.07%
$3,321,265
Total SPAC Sector
-
6.62%
5.97%
28.52%
$957,391,294
With 95% utilization levels in DWAC, DWACU and DWACW there will not be much new short selling in this high cost-to-borrow SPAC and rates should continue to climb if short demand continues to increase.