Author:
Ihor Dusaniwsky
Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
Matthew Unterman
Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
We follow 1,940 SPAC securities (equities and warrants) that have short interest. Total short interest in the SPAC sector had been declining since late 2021 and we again saw SPAC short interest decline over the last thirty days. Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC) is still the only SPAC with over $100 million of short interest. Total SPAC short interest is now $577 million, a decrease of $119 million over the last thirty days.
#
Name
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
13.72%
12.07%
53.07%
$161,760,494
2
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
7.41%
6.90%
3.57%
$64,245,601
3
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
9.67%
8.82%
3.57%
$23,698,262
4
FAR PEAK ACQ CORP
FPAC
4.09%
3.93%
3.32%
$23,050,988
5
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP IV
IPOD
3.02%
2.93%
2.07%
$13,961,602
6
EJF ACQUISITION CORP
EJFA
4.96%
4.73%
10.57%
$13,812,330
7
ATLANTIC COASTAL ACQ CORP
ACAH
3.22%
3.12%
0.30%
$10,807,573
8
CF ACQ CORP VI
CFVI
3.09%
3.00%
3.57%
$10,522,630
9
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP VI
IPOF
0.86%
0.85%
0.30%
$10,020,798
10
NORTH MOUNTAIN MERGER CORP
NMMC
7.40%
6.89%
0.30%
$9,440,213
11
COHN ROBBINS HLDGS CORP
CRHC
1.04%
1.03%
0.30%
$8,485,338
12
VY GLOBAL GROWTH
VYGG
1.35%
1.34%
0.30%
$7,546,447
13
SOCIAL CAPITAL SUVRETTA HLDGS CORP III
DNAC
2.44%
2.38%
2.57%
$6,022,446
14
AURORA ACQUISITION CORP
AURC
2.19%
2.14%
4.32%
$5,677,166
15
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
15.01%
13.05%
4.82%
$5,673,846
16
ARYA SCIENCES ACQ CORP IV
ARYD
3.76%
3.62%
6.82%
$5,260,613
17
PANACEA ACQUISITION CORP II
PANA
3.09%
2.99%
1.57%
$4,905,255
18
BCLS ACQ CORP
BLSA
3.76%
3.62%
3.07%
$4,872,473
19
HEALTH SCIENCES ACQ CORP 2
HSAQ
3.11%
3.02%
0.57%
$4,673,471
20
ALTENERGY ACQ CORP
AEAEU
1.97%
1.93%
0.30%
$4,514,611
Total SPAC Short Interest
-
6.23%
5.62%
17.08%
$577,188,738
The SPAC sector’s average Short Interest % Float is 6.23%, while the average S3 SI % Float is 5.62% (includes the synthetic longs created by every short sale in the trade float denominator). The average stock borrow fee is 17.08%. In contrast, stocks in the U.S. have a total short interest of $965 billion, SI % Float of 4.71%, S3 SI % Float of 4.26% and an average stock borrow fee of 0.68%.
Total short interest in the SPAC sector has decreased from $696 million to $577 million over the last 30 days. This $119 million decrease consisted of a -$117 million change in market value due to stock price decreases and -$2 million of new short covering.
SPAC stock prices have been relatively stable and the only SPAC with over $10 million on new short selling over the last month was Digital World Acquisition Corp (DWAC) with $12 million.
Excluding the $113 million of mark-to-market decrease in DWAC, the total mark-to-market change in the remaining 1,939 SPACs and warrants was -$4.3 million. If price volatility returns to the SPAC sector, we should see more shorting and covering in the sector.
#
Name
Ticker
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
$161,760,494
$11,894,546
2
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP IV
IPOD
$13,961,602
$6,505,340
3
VY GLOBAL GROWTH
VYGG
$7,546,447
$4,247,001
4
ATLANTIC COASTAL ACQ CORP
ACAH
$10,807,573
$3,306,754
5
SPRING VALLEY ACQ CORP
SV
$3,861,471
$2,651,772
6
TUSCAN HOLDINGS CORP II
THCA
$1,632,160
$1,492,772
7
SOUTHPORT ACQ CORP
PORT
$1,440,811
$1,440,359
8
CONX CORP
CONX
$2,483,943
$1,333,262
9
OMNICHANNEL ACQ CORP
OCA
$1,402,824
$1,321,971
10
AVALON ACQ INC
AVAC
$1,377,560
$1,309,110
And SPAC short covering was also muted over the last thirty days with no SPACs with more than $10 million of buy-to-covers.
#
Name
Ticker
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
1
ANGEL POND HOLDINGS CORP
POND
$138,901
($2,932,781)
2
ANDRETTI ACQ CORP
WNNR/U
$17,670
($2,517,560)
3
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
$5,673,846
($2,468,136)
4
MOUNTAIN CO I ACQ CORP
MCAA
$1,043
($2,456,186)
5
M3BRIGADE ACQ II CORP
MBAC
$176,282
($2,447,795)
6
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
$23,698,262
($2,138,528)
7
PERSHING SQUARE TONTINE HLDGS
PSTH
$1,114,508
($1,880,258)
8
CONCORD ACQ CORP
CND
$3,477,626
($1,855,954)
9
ARMADA ACQ CORP I
AACI
$73,854
($1,761,862)
10
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
$64,245,601
($1,256,774)
SPAC short sellers were up $84.5 million, +13.57%, in net-of-financing mark-to-market profits over the last 30 days. Un-profitable SPAC shorts outnumbers profitable SPAC shorts by 2-1, with losing trades outnumbering winning trades 60%-30% (10% had no P\L). But the average gain for the profitable trades was +26.38% versus an average loss for un-profitable trades of -0.62%. The total return for the profitable trades was skewed by the $81.5 million of mark-to-market profits in DWAC.
#
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
30 Day MTM P\L $
30 Day MTM P\L %
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
63.13%
$190,476,525
$81,470,779
42.77%
2
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
3.41%
$70,231,479
$2,892,365
4.12%
3
CF ACQ CORP VI
CFVI
3.24%
$10,778,053
$561,849
5.21%
4
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWACU
41.93%
$923,949
$418,852
45.33%
5
SPRING VALLEY ACQ CORP
SV
0.86%
$2,854,093
$247,646
8.68%
6
TUSCAN HOLDINGS CORP II
THCA
10.04%
$1,193,581
$162,846
13.64%
7
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP WARRANT
DWACW
137.30%
$903,227
$97,389
10.78%
8
FAR PEAK ACQ CORP
FPAC
2.95%
$22,780,081
$87,906
0.39%
9
CF ACQ CORP VI WARRANT
CFVIW
11.36%
$123,639
$28,739
23.24%
10
LIONHEART ACQUISITION CORP II
LCAP
4.39%
$2,915,023
$28,451
0.98%
#
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
30 Day MTM P\L $
30 Day MTM P\L %
1
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
5.32%
$6,428,675
($170,441)
-2.65%
2
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP IV
IPOD
1.59%
$11,485,160
($153,065)
-1.33%
3
EJF ACQUISITION CORP
EJFA
11.12%
$13,950,592
($144,107)
-1.03%
4
SOCIAL CAPITAL HEDOSOPHIA HLDGS CORP VI
IPOF
0.55%
$9,626,700
($131,880)
-1.37%
5
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
3.74%
$24,225,809
($71,599)
-0.30%
6
ALTENERGY ACQ CORP
AEAEU
0.34%
$4,495,252
($50,290)
-1.12%
7
ATLANTIC COASTAL ACQ CORP
ACAH
0.30%
$11,018,231
($47,626)
-0.43%
8
VELOCITY ACQ CORP
VELO
6.74%
$3,658,621
($45,006)
-1.23%
9
ARYA SCIENCES ACQ CORP IV
ARYD
7.67%
$4,991,074
($38,550)
-0.77%
10
VY GLOBAL GROWTH
VYGG
0.41%
$6,805,413
($31,758)
-0.47%
The lack of overall stock borrow supply in the SPAC sector is highlighted in the high stock borrow fees for some of the securities in the sector. Average stock borrow fees in the sector have decreased by 9.22% over the past thirty days to a 17.08% fee. Short Interest % Float deceased from 6.23% to 5.62% in the SPAC sector, which reduced stock borrow pressure on rates in general. Most importantly, the stock borrow rate for DWAC decreased from 86.07% to 53.07% over the past thirty days.
Shorting SPACs has a peculiar issue compared to shorting most other larger cap securities. Due to the relatively high percentage of retail long shareholders, there is a lack of stock loan supply from the start. Retail shareholders are not usually in stock lending programs and tend to have fully paid holdings and do not use margin, which limits the capabilities of brokers using their positions as collateral and lending out their shares. In addition to the elevated level of retail (non-lending) long shareholders is the fact that SPAC securities are not in indexes and therefore not held in size by longer term institutional long shareholders (such as pension funds, mutual funds, ETF providers, etc.) who provide most of the lendable liquidity in the stock loan market. With these two strikes against them, short sellers may have a challenging time locating the more popular SPAC stock borrows to settle short sales and if they do, rates on those stock borrows are usually more expensive than traditional equities.
#
Name
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
1
DIGITAL WORLD ACQ CORP
DWAC
13.72%
12.07%
53.07%
$161,760,494
2
EJF ACQUISITION CORP
EJFA
4.96%
4.73%
10.57%
$13,812,330
3
VELOCITY ACQ CORP
VELO
1.57%
1.54%
7.07%
$3,498,080
4
ARYA SCIENCES ACQ CORP IV
ARYD
3.76%
3.62%
6.82%
$5,260,613
5
EAST STONE ACQ CORP
ESSC
15.01%
13.05%
4.82%
$5,673,846
6
LIONHEART ACQUISITION CORP II
LCAP
2.31%
2.26%
4.82%
$2,848,637
7
LUX HEALTH TECH ACQ CORP
LUXA
0.41%
0.41%
4.82%
$1,393,722
8
CONCORD ACQ CORP
CND
1.25%
1.24%
4.57%
$3,477,626
9
AURORA ACQUISITION CORP
AURC
2.19%
2.14%
4.32%
$5,677,166
10
TPG PACE BENEFICIAL FINANCE CORP
TPGY
0.71%
0.71%
4.32%
$2,468,921
11
HIGHLAND TRANSCEND PARTNERS I CORP
HTPA
0.42%
0.41%
4.32%
$1,224,725
12
TUSCAN HOLDINGS CORP II
THCA
1.60%
1.58%
4.07%
$1,632,160
13
FINTECH ACQ CORP V
FTCV
9.67%
8.82%
3.57%
$23,698,262
14
GORES GUGGENHEIM INC
GGPI
7.41%
6.90%
3.57%
$64,245,601
15
CF ACQ CORP VI
CFVI
3.09%
3.00%
3.57%
$10,522,630
16
FAR PEAK ACQ CORP
FPAC
4.09%
3.93%
3.32%
$23,050,988
17
BCLS ACQ CORP
BLSA
3.76%
3.62%
3.07%
$4,872,473
18
MUDRICK CAPITAL ACQ CORP II
MUDS
0.33%
0.32%
3.07%
$1,032,999
19
SOCIAL CAPITAL SUVRETTA HLDGS CORP III
DNAC
2.44%
2.38%
2.57%
$6,022,446
20
VICKERS VANTAGE CORP I
VCKA
1.32%
1.31%
2.57%
$2,326,336