Short Sellers Face Pressure as Texas Pacific Land (TPL) Surges on No News

Author:

S3 Research Team

April 17, 2025

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) is up sharply with a high squeeze score and rising volatility. The stock, thinly covered and highly volatile, now poses material risk to short sellers. With recent gains and a crowded score of 50, the elevated squeeze score signals potential pressure if momentum continues.

TPL is a $30B company that owns land in Texas. The stock is very volatile and is not well covered.

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The short interest is 5% of float. It was higher in late 2024.

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The Squeeze score is 70 as the Crowded score is 50 and the stock is higher recently. The Squeeze score has only been elevated recently.

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The stock was up 13% on 4/9/2025 on no news.

The high volatility with no coverage makes the short position very risky.

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Adding to the risk commentators say the stock trades based on optionality.

The stock has doubled, and the PE has followed without much higher earnings.

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TPL's rally, coupled with low analyst coverage, elevated squeeze metrics, and thin float, introduces significant risk to short sellers. In volatile, less‑transparent names like this, even small moves can trigger further covering. Optionality-driven trading dynamics only heighten the potential for sharp, unpredictable price action.


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The information herein (some of which has been obtained from third party sources without verification) is believed by S3 Partners, LLC (“S3 Partners”) to be reliable and accurate. Neither S3 Partners nor any of its affiliates makes any representation as to the accuracy or completeness of the information herein or accepts liability arising from its use. Prior to making any decisions based on the information herein, you should determine, without reliance upon S3 Partners, the economic risks, and merits, as well as the legal, tax, accounting, and investment consequences, of such decisions.

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