Models are bearish, short interest is rising, and the stock’s 8% weekly gain suggests a likely reversion.

Despite doubling this year and earlier declines in short interest, the recent uptick in bearish positioning and historical patterns point to downside risk post-earnings.

PLTR is set to report earnings today. The stock has doubled this year.

Although it typically sees a 15% move post-earnings, the options market is pricing in just a 9% move — indicating subdued expectations.

Both equity and short interest models are signaling bearish outcomes based on historical behavior.

The stock’s 8% gain this week is also a bearish indicator, as PLTR tends to revert after short-term rallies. Short interest has risen this week, reinforcing the bearish outlook, especially given that short positions have historically been accurate.

Despite doubling in value this year, PLTR’s short interest had been declining — most notably at the start of the year — before reversing course recently.

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