Earnings Preview: TSLA, CSX and TSCO

Author:

S3 Research Team

July 23, 2025

Tesla (TSLA) and CSX are set to report earnings after today’s market close, while Tractor Supply (TSCO) is scheduled to release results tomorrow before the open.

Tesla (TSLA)

TSLA shares are up 7% ahead of earnings. Historically, the stock tends to revert, suggesting a bearish setup. The short interest model shows no change and is not a significant factor in the current outlook.

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TSLA typically moves ~7% following earnings, and the options market is currently pricing in a similar ~6% move.

TSLA short interest is at 2.75% of float, a recent high.

CSX Corporation (CSX)

CSX has gained 6% recently, though the stock has a historical tendency to retrace lower post-earnings. Short interest has increased slightly, but past data shows little correlation between this and post-earnings performance.

CSX typically moves ~3% on earnings, suggesting relatively lower implied risk.

CSX short interest is at 1.4%, near the middle of its historical range.

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Tractor Supply Company (TSCO)

TSCO is up 5% ahead of its results, and the stock’s positive price momentum indicates potential for further upside. Short interest has also ticked up slightly.

Historically, TSCO moves ~3.8% on earnings, while current options pricing implies a slightly larger ~4.6% move.

TSCO short interest is at 8.3% of float, near its historical high.

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