Cannabis Stock Short Interest Declining

Author:

Ihor Dusaniwsky

Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

Matthew Unterman

Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

July 15, 2022

Total short interest in the cannabis sector has been steadily declining for over a year, with short interest of the cannabis portfolio we are following declining from $3.14 billion in May 2021 to $1.57 billion in December 2021 to $632 million today. We follow 100 U.S. and Canadian cannabis companies made up of 163 securities (some companies are dual listed in both the U.S. and Canada). Short selling is highly concentrated in a handful of names, with short interest of the top twenty most shorted stocks in the sector making up 97% of total short selling. Tilray Brands Inc (TLRY US, TLRY CN) and Canopy Growth Corp (CGC US, WEED CN) continue to be the top two shorts in the sector, making up 57% of total short selling.

Short Interest in Cannabis Stocks (as of 07.13.22)

Name

USD Ticker

CAD Ticker

Short Interest

Tilray Brands Inc

TLRY US

TLRY CN

$244,440,121

Canopy Growth Corp

CGC US

WEED CN

$113,671,945

Sundial Growers Inc

SNDL US

N.A.

$66,259,908

Cronos Group Inc

CRON US

CRON CN

$57,897,276

Aurora Cannabis Inc

ACB US

ACB CN

$42,293,742

Trulieve Cannabis Corp

TCNNF US

TRUL CN

$14,200,705

Organigram Holdings Inc

OGI US

OGI CN

$13,359,263

Verano Holdings Corp

VRNOF US

VRNO CN

$11,985,094

HEXO Corp

HEXO US

HEXO CN

$11,438,391

WM Technology Inc

MAPS US

N.A.

$9,772,751

Cresco Labs Inc

CRLBF US

CL CN

$6,549,604

Leafly Holdings Inc

LFLY US

N.A.

$5,705,849

Curaleaf Holdings Inc

CURLF US

CURA CN

$4,787,348

AFC Gamma Inc

AFCG US

N.A.

$3,424,749

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

VLN US

VLNS CN

$2,555,565

Green Thumb Industries Inc

GTBIF US

GTII CN

$2,232,494

Charlottes Web Holdings Inc

CWBHF US

CWEB CN

$1,759,872

High Tide Inc

HITI US

HITI CN

$1,442,671

Jushi Holdings Inc

JUSHF US

JUSH CN

$1,312,611

Ayr Wellness Inc

AYRWF US

AYR/A CN

$782,511

Top Twenty

-

-

$615,872,471

Total Sector

-

-

$632,046,991

A change in short interest is made up of the mark-to-market price changes of shares shorted plus the change in overall shares shorted. The Cannabis Sector rally had stalled in mid-February with the ETFMG Alternative Harvest ETF (MJ US) up +131% from December 31,2021 to February 10, 2021, but down -83% since February 10, 2021. Short interest in the cannabis sector declined by $1.89 billion since February 10, 2021, by -$1.04 billion year-to-date and -$153 million over the last thirty days. Cannabis short sellers were seeing the market value of their shorts decrease but were not actively replacing that short exposure. Overall, the cannabis sector is not a favorite short, even though the trades have been profitable in 2022.

Cannabis Stock Short Selling Over Time

Name

USD Ticker

CAD Ticker

Short Interest

2/10/21 Change

12/31/21

Change

6/13/22 Change

Tilray Brands Inc

TLRY US

TLRY CN

$244,440,121

$(302,547,331)

$185,330,343)

$(438,075)

Canopy Growth Corp

CGC US

WEED CN

$113,671,945

$(630,803,042)

(414,811,303)

$(100,639,043)

Sundial Growers Inc

SNDL US

N.A.

$66,259,908

$(125,662,091)

$(88,372,161)

$(9,082,870)

Cronos Group Inc

CRON US

CRON CN

$57,897,276

$(127,435,119)

$(27,777,677)

$2,424,755

Aurora Cannabis Inc

ACB US

ACB CN

$42,293,742

$(337,371,519)

$(173,692,496)

$(8,753,620)

Trulieve Cannabis Corp

TCNNF US

TRUL CN

$14,200,705

$244,620

$(3,478,476)

$(8,101,578)

Organigram Holdings Inc

OGI US

OGI CN

$13,359,263

$(62,126,821)

$(25,002,692)

$(2,671,373)

Verano Holdings Corp

VRNOF US

VRNO CN

$11,985,094

$(8,140,473)

$1,855,529

$(4,767,967)

HEXO Corp

HEXO US

HEXO CN

$11,438,391

$(112,914,769)

$(36,242,168)

$(3,206,042)

WM Technology Inc

MAPS US

N.A.

$9,772,751

$(24,759,656)

$(2,724,560)

$(1,780,734)

Cresco Labs Inc

CRLBF US

CL CN

$6,549,604

$(11,207,987)

$2,866,692

$1,359,921)

Leafly Holdings Inc

LFLY US

N.A.

$5,705,849

$5,497,017

$37,734

$(4,650,210)

Curaleaf Holdings Inc

CURLF US

CURA CN

$4,787,348

$(14,747,146)

$(12,335,667)

$1,164,402)

AFC Gamma Inc

AFCG US

N.A.

$3,424,749

$2,297,985

$(1,261,056)

$733,121

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

VLN US

VLNS CN

$2,555,565

$(7,381,531)

$(1,495,557)

$338,227

Green Thumb Industries Inc

GTBIF US

GTII CN

$2,232,494

$(11,774,308)

$(12,621,418)

$(4,838,727)

Charlottes Web Holdings Inc

CWBHF US

CWEB CN

$1,759,872

$(8,437,244)

$(2,406,177)

$(304,989)

High Tide Inc

HITI US

HITI CN

$1,442,671

$(3,005,608)

$(3,897,366)

$(212,120)

Jushi Holdings Inc

JUSHF US

JUSH CN

$1,312,611

$(2,903,857)

$293,157

$175,181

Ayr Wellness Inc

AYRWF US

AYR/A CN

$ 782,511

$ (2,618,214)

$(1,599,160)

$(692,141)

Top Twenty

-

-

$615,872,471

$(1,785,797,094)

$(987,995,165)

$(148,992,526)

Total Sector

-

-

$632,046,991

$(1,892,762,320)

$(1,038,684,091)

$(152,563,988)

Since February 10, 2020, cannabis sector short interest in the top twenty most shorted stocks in the sector declined by $1.79 billion, which was made up of $1.94 billion of mark-to-market decrease in the value of stocks shorts slightly offset by $163 million in new short selling. But, over the last thirty days the $149 million decrease in short interest was made up of $115 million of mark-to-market declines along with $34 million of short covering. Cannabis short sellers are actively exiting their positions.

Cannabis Stocks: Change in Shares Shorted

Name

USD

Ticker

CAD Ticker

2/10/21

$Change

12/31/21 $Change

6/13/22 $Change

Tilray Brands Inc

TLRY US

TLRY CN

$135,598,295

$54,201,983

$11,223,005

Canopy Growth Corp

CGC US

WEED CN

$46,183,261

$(21,740,737)

-$20,822,571

Sundial Growers Inc

SNDL US

N.A.

-$12,884,734

$(15,936,368)

-$6,081,987

Cronos Group Inc

CRON US

CRON CN

-$14,031,281

$(5,913,861)

-$2,806,746

Aurora Cannabis Inc

ACB US

ACB CN

-$13,284,116

$(8,844,595)

-$5,332,152

Trulieve Cannabis Corp

TCNNF US

TRUL CN

$10,252,227

$6,389,296

-$4,212,148

Organigram Holdings Inc

OGI US

OGI CN

-$15,963,535

$(9,605,704)

-$2,996,177

Verano Holdings Corp

VRNOF US

VRNO CN

$5,760,649

$7,134,895

-$440,944

HEXO Corp

HEXO US

HEXO CN

$8,008,760

$(2,238,101)

-$106,031

WM Technology Inc

MAPS US

N.A.

$2,896,638

$3,320,557

$2,433,163

Cresco Labs Inc

CRLBF US

CL CN

$2,463,178

$4,887,672

-$286,267

Leafly Holdings Inc

LFLY US

N.A.

$5,613,244

$3,189,842

-$1,815,027

Curaleaf Holdings Inc

CURLF US

CURA CN

-$1,777,770

$(5,155,465)

-$166,924

AFC Gamma Inc

AFCG US

N.A.

$2,675,993

$175,560

$996,791

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

VLN US

VLNS CN

$1,710,463

$1,419,515

$56,893

Green Thumb Industries Inc

GTBIF US

GTII CN

-$1,788,665

$(4,008,923)

-$3,540,446

Charlottes Web Holdings Inc

CWBHF US

CWEB CN

$642,250

$27,925

$27,133

High Tide Inc

HITI US

HITI CN

$202,278

$(1,136,722)

-$13,733

Jushi Holdings Inc

JUSHF US

JUSH CN

$219,293

$782,282

-$25,883

Ayr Wellness Inc

AYRWF US

AYR/A CN

$161,878

$(13,080)

-$451,644

Top Twenty

-

-

$162,658,306

$6,935,970

-$34,361,696

Short interest % of Float of the top twenty most shorted cannabis stocks has declined from 16.67% to 13.58% in 2022. This confirms the fact that even as the stock prices of these cannabis stocks has decreased the number of shares shorted have decreased as well.

Cannabis Stocks: Short Interest as a % of Float

Name

USD Ticker

CAD Ticker

12/31/21

SI % Float

6/13/22

SI % Float

7/13/22

SI % Float

Tilray Brands Inc

TLRY US

TLRY CN

13.01%

15.17%

15.88%

Canopy Growth Corp

CGC US

WEED CN

23.59%

22.59%

20.86%

Sundial Growers Inc

SNDL US

N.A.

12.88%

9.63%

8.78%

Cronos Group Inc

CRON US

CRON CN

10.95%

10.38%

9.90%

Aurora Cannabis Inc

ACB US

ACB CN

19.90%

16.18%

14.34%

Trulieve Cannabis Corp

TCNNF US

TRUL CN

0.53%

1.22%

0.93%

Organigram Holdings Inc

OGI US

OGI CN

8.95%

6.07%

4.96%

Verano Holdings Corp

VRNOF US

VRNO CN

0.54%

0.91%

0.88%

HEXO Corp

HEXO US

HEXO CN

19.80%

13.50%

13.35%

WM Technology Inc

MAPS US

N.A.

4.28%

3.36%

4.62%

Cresco Labs Inc

CRLBF US

CL CN

0.30%

1.12%

1.09%

Leafly Holdings Inc

LFLY US

N.A.

4.90%

5.92%

4.48%

Curaleaf Holdings Inc

CURLF US

CURA CN

0.48%

0.24%

0.23%

AFC Gamma Inc

AFCG US

N.A.

1.95%

1.12%

1.59%

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

VLN US

VLNS CN

2.79%

4.53%

4.66%

Green Thumb Industries Inc

GTBIF US

GTII CN

0.41%

0.35%

0.13%

Charlottes Web Holdings Inc

CWBHF US

CWEB CN

2.95%

2.77%

2.85%

High Tide Inc

HITI US

HITI CN

2.41%

1.31%

1.30%

Jushi Holdings Inc

JUSHF US

JUSH CN

0.20%

0.47%

0.46%

Ayr Wellness Inc

AYRWF US

AYR/A CN

0.31%

0.46%

0.29%

Top Twenty

-

-

16.67%

14.59%

13.58%

The top twenty cannabis shorts in the sector are up $807 million in net-of-financing mark-to-market profits in 2022. Cannabis shorts are up $20 million in mark-to-market profits in July, but we are seeing several stocks (Tilray Brands, Cronos Group and Organigram Holdings) posting over $1 million losses for the month.

Cannabis Stocks: Short Selling $P/L

Cannabis Stocks MTM P\L

USD Ticker

CAD Ticker

YTD MTM P\L

MTD MTM P\L

Tilray Brands Inc

TLRY US

TLRY CN

$278,904,657

$(5,970,988)

Canopy Growth Corp

CGC US

WEED CN

$291,453,675

$25,024,404

Sundial Growers Inc

SNDL US

N.A.

$45,094,488

$2,875,463

Cronos Group Inc

CRON US

CRON CN

$16,452,817

$(1,224,950)

Aurora Cannabis Inc

ACB US

ACB CN

$104,796,861

$1,318,436

Trulieve Cannabis Corp

TCNNF US

TRUL CN

$8,011,420

$167,195

Organigram Holdings Inc

OGI US

OGI CN

$9,480,324

$(1,972,534)

Verano Holdings Corp

VRNOF US

VRNO CN

$14,238,016

$28,555

HEXO Corp

HEXO US

HEXO CN

$2,571,146

$86,984

WM Technology Inc

MAPS US

N.A.

$7,276,870

$479,402

Cresco Labs Inc

CRLBF US

CL CN

$2,994,749

$(359,920)

Leafly Holdings Inc

LFLY US

N.A.

$8,172,122

$126,336

Curaleaf Holdings Inc

CURLF US

CURA CN

$6,154,848

$6,965

AFC Gamma Inc

AFCG US

N.A.

$1,692,497

$(115,566)

Valens Semiconductor Ltd

VLN US

VLNS CN

$5,595,734

$(61,452)

Green Thumb Industries Inc

GTBIF US

GTII CN

$222,052

$(74,351)

Charlottes Web Holdings Inc

CWBHF US

CWEB CN

$844,431

$105,187

High Tide Inc

HITI US

HITI CN

$744,985

$56,948

Jushi Holdings Inc

JUSHF US

JUSH CN

$722,559

$(201,152)

Ayr Wellness Inc

AYRWF US

AYR/A CN

$1,742,948

$(9,986)

Top Twenty

-

-

$807,167,198

$20,284,975

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