Author:
Ihor Dusaniwsky
Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
Matthew Unterman
Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
We cover 971 Canadian ETFs and Funds with active shares shorted with $3.44 billion of short interest. Average Short Interest % of Float is 15.72% and S3 SI % Float (which includes synthetic longs created by every short sale in the Float number) is 12.46%, while the average stock borrow fee is 1.78%. As a comparison, Canadian equities have an average SI % Float of 2.69%, S3 SI % Float of 2.59% and average stock borrow fee of 0.55%.
Canadian ETF Short Interest (as of 11.21.22)
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
ISHS S&P/TSX 60 ETF
XIU CN
22.36%
18.28%
0.82%
$1,932,109,377
ISHS CORE SP/TSX CAPPED ETF
XIC CN
6.59%
6.19%
0.30%
$452,634,345
ISHS S&P/TSX ENERGY ETF
XEG CN
7.70%
7.15%
6.07%
$130,375,418
BMO S&P/TSX EQUAL WEIGHT BANKS ETF
ZEB CN
5.61%
5.31%
0.30%
$127,696,317
HORIZONS SP/TSX 60 ETF
HXT CN
3.40%
3.29%
0.30%
$101,054,045
BMO LADDERED PREFERRED SHARE ETF
ZPR CN
3.31%
3.21%
3.57%
$40,410,053
ISHS CORE CAD UNIVERSE BOND ETF
XBB CN
1.00%
0.99%
0.94%
$35,044,540
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
14.83%
12.91%
16.07%
$30,818,081
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUST FUND
U-U CN
1.09%
1.08%
3.07%
$29,485,616
BMO S&P 500 ETF
ZSP CN
0.30%
0.30%
0.30%
$21,138,004
BMO SP/TSX CAPPED COMPOSITE ETF
ZCN CN
0.41%
0.41%
0.30%
$21,089,886
ISHS CORE SP 500 ETF
XSP CN
0.35%
0.35%
6.32%
$20,762,793
ISHS GOLD BULLION ETF
CGL CN
4.03%
3.88%
2.32%
$20,129,245
ISHS CANADIAN CORPORATE BOND ETF
XCB CN
1.76%
1.73%
5.32%
$20,017,070
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED REIT ETF
XRE CN
2.45%
2.39%
7.07%
$18,709,503
BMO EQUAL WEIGHT UTILITIES ETF
ZUT CN
5.50%
5.21%
0.30%
$17,725,341
HORIZONS US DOLLAR CCY ETF
DLR CN
16.79%
14.37%
7.07%
$16,267,063
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED FINANCIALS ETF
XFN CN
1.53%
1.50%
9.32%
$15,953,649
CI GALAXY ETHEREUM ETF
ETHX/B CN
9.66%
8.81%
14.32%
$15,349,926
ISHS CORE MSCI EAFE IMI INDEX ETF
XEF CN
0.31%
0.31%
3.07%
$12,764,252
SPROTT PHYSICAL GOLD TRUST
PHYS CN
0.21%
0.21%
6.32%
$10,963,389
INVESCO S&P 500 ESG INDEX ETF
ESG/F CN
41.16%
29.16%
4.32%
$10,814,169
BITCOIN ETF
EBIT CN
27.29%
21.44%
18.32%
$8,754,828
VNGRD SP 500 INDEX ETF
VFV CN
0.17%
0.17%
10.32%
$8,401,005
HORIZONS ACTIVE PREFERRED SHARE ETF
HPR CN
0.78%
0.78%
4.07%
$6,969,900
Total Canadian ETF Short Interest
-
15.72%
12.46%
1.78%
$3,439,598,594
Overall ETF short exposure increased from $3.22 billion to $3.44 billion, an increase of $221 million, or +6.88%, over the last thirty days. Change in short interest is comprised of mark-to-market price changes of existing shorts coupled with new short selling and covering. We saw a $310 million increase in the market-to-market value of existing short positions which was partially offset by $89 million new net short covering.
As the value of their assets appreciated, ETF short sellers only slightly decreased their exposure into market strength by trimming their outstanding portfolio hedges or decreasing their short-side risk (Alpha generating) positions. This indicates that ETF short sellers were looking let their short-side bet exposure increase, even as prices rose, and mark-to-market losses mounted.
The $221 million of new net ETF short covering over the last thirty days saw a relatively equal number of ETFs with increased short selling versus short covering (499 ETFs with increases short selling, 456 ETFs with increased short covering & 26 with no change) but the short covering was mainly executed in the most widely held ETFs. Increased short selling occurred in ETFs with $1.13 billion of short interest while the increased short covering occurred in ETFs with $2.31 billion of short interest. Short sellers were increasing exposure in the more niche ETFs while trimming exposure in the more broadly held ETFs. It appears that hedges were reduced while the search for Alpha increased.
The Most Shorted Canadian ETFs over the Past 30 Days
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
ISHS CORE CAD UNIVERSE BOND ETF
XBB CN
1.00%
0.99%
$35,044,540
$27,934,910
ISHS CORE SP/TSX CAPPED ETF
XIC CN
6.59%
6.19%
$452,634,345
$25,889,042
ISHS GOLD BULLION ETF
CGL CN
4.03%
3.88%
$20,129,245
$20,059,007
ISHS CANADIAN CORPORATE BOND ETF
XCB CN
1.76%
1.73%
$20,017,070
$17,687,560
BMO S&P/TSX EQUAL WEIGHT BANKS ETF
ZEB CN
5.61%
5.31%
$127,696,317
$14,468,646
SPROTT PHYSICAL GOLD TRUST
PHYS CN
0.21%
0.21%
$10,963,389
$9,871,301
INVESCO S&P 500 ESG INDEX ETF
ESG/F CN
41.16%
29.16%
$10,814,169
$9,853,911
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
14.83%
12.91%
$30,818,081
$6,057,751
BMO EQUAL WEIGHT UTILITIES ETF
ZUT CN
5.50%
5.21%
$17,725,341
$5,626,473
HZONS ACTIVE PREFERRED SHARE ETF
HPR CN
0.78%
0.78%
$6,969,900
$5,231,089
The Most Short Covered Canadian ETFs over the Past 30 days
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
ISHS S&P/TSX 60 ETF
XIU CN
22.36%
18.28%
$1,932,109,377
-$172,853,077
BMO MONEY MARKET FUND ETF
ZMMK CN
0.17%
0.17%
$630,424
-$10,116,690
ISHS CORE S&P 500 INDEX ETF
XUS CN
0.07%
0.07%
$2,266,794
-$10,010,293
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED REIT ETF
XRE CN
2.45%
2.39%
$18,709,503
-$9,893,107
VNGRD FTSE GLOBAL ALL CAP EX CANADA ETF
VXC CN
0.08%
0.08%
$772,374
-$6,880,704
HORIZONS HIGH INTEREST SAVINGS ETF
CASH CN
0.35%
0.34%
$2,379,017
-$6,773,357
ISHS CORE MSCI EAFE IMI INDEX ETF
XEF CN
0.31%
0.31%
$12,764,252
-$5,886,726
BMO S&P 500 ETF
ZSP CN
0.30%
0.30%
$21,138,004
-$5,229,397
ISHS S&P/TSX ENERGY ETF
XEG CN
7.70%
7.15%
$130,375,418
-$5,226,942
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUST FUND
U-U CN
1.09%
1.08%
$29,485,616
-$4,718,151
ETF short interest as a % of Float is a much more fluid metric than it is for equities and ADRs as ETFs are constantly created and\or redeemed which changes their shares outstanding\float numbers sometimes daily. The following are ETFs with the highest SI % Float with overall short interest greater than $5 million.
Traditional Short Interest % of Float vs S3 Short Interest % of Float
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
INVESCO S&P 500 ESG INDEX ETF
ESG/F CN
41.16%
29.16%
4.32%
$10,814,169
BITCOIN ETF
EBIT CN
27.29%
21.44%
18.32%
$8,754,828
ISHS S&P/TSX 60 ETF
XIU CN
22.36%
18.28%
0.82%
$1,932,109,377
HORIZONS US DOLLAR CCY ETF
DLR CN
16.79%
14.37%
7.07%
$16,267,063
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
14.83%
12.91%
16.07%
$30,818,081
CI GALAXY BITCOIN ETF
BTCX/B CN
11.95%
10.67%
27.32%
$5,492,198
CI GALAXY ETHEREUM ETF
ETHX/B CN
9.66%
8.81%
14.32%
$15,349,926
ISHS S&P/TSX ENERGY ETF
XEG CN
7.70%
7.15%
6.07%
$130,375,418
ISHS CORE SP/TSX CAPPED ETF
XIC CN
6.59%
6.19%
0.30%
$452,634,345
BMO S&P/TSX EQUAL WEIGHT BANKS ETF
ZEB CN
5.61%
5.31%
0.30%
$127,696,317
ETF stock borrow fees rarely get very expensive (over 5% fee) as brokers will usually create ETF shares in order to meet stock borrow demand as rates make the share creation and hedging profitable. Rates in certain ETFs tend to climb for two main reasons, there is very little marginable or rehypothicatable stock in the market which limits the stock lending availability pool or the process of creating and hedging the ETF is difficult or very expensive (active ETFs or ETF with illiquid constituents). The following are ETFs with the highest stock borrow fees with short interest over $5 million.
Canadian ETFs with Highest Borrow Fees
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
CI GALAXY BITCOIN ETF
BTCX/B CN
11.95%
10.67%
27.32%
$5,492,198
BITCOIN ETF
EBIT CN
27.29%
21.44%
18.32%
$8,754,828
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
14.83%
12.91%
16.07%
$30,818,081
CI GALAXY ETHEREUM ETF
ETHX/B CN
9.66%
8.81%
14.32%
$15,349,926
VNGRD SP 500 INDEX ETF
VFV CN
0.17%
0.17%
10.32%
$8,401,005
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED FINANCIALS ETF
XFN CN
1.53%
1.50%
9.32%
$15,953,649
HORIZONS US DOLLAR CCY ETF
DLR CN
16.79%
14.37%
7.07%
$16,267,063
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED REIT ETF
XRE CN
2.45%
2.39%
7.07%
$18,709,503
ISHS CORE SP 500 ETF
XSP CN
0.35%
0.35%
6.32%
$20,762,793
SPROTT PHYSICAL GOLD TRUST
PHYS CN
0.21%
0.21%
6.32%
$10,963,389
SI % Float and stock borrow costs are just two of the variables in our multi-factor Crowded Score metric along with the overall size of the short, stock borrow liquidity and trading liquidity. Crowded Scores over 90.00/100.00 are considered very crowded while scores in the 70-89 range are relatively crowded. The average Crowded score for Canadian ETFs is 16.38. The ETF\Funds with the highest Crowded Scores are below.
Most Crowded Canadian ETF Shorts
Canadian ETF\Fund
Ticker
Short Interest
Fee
S3SI%Flt
S3 Crowded Score
ISHS S&P/TSX 60 ETF
XIU CN
$ 1,932,109,377
0.82%
18.28%
90.00
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
$ 30,818,081
16.07%
12.91%
70.00
Institutionally ETFs are primarily used as a portfolio hedging vehicles (XIU CN shorts make up 56% of total ETF short interest) so one can expect that in an upward trending market most of the larger ETF short positions would have large negative returns. ETF shorts were down $149 million in net-of financing mark-to-market losses, -5.588%, in November.
Most of the most profitable ETF shorts in November were crypto or energy ETFs:
Canadian ETF\Fund Nov MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Nov MTM P\L
MTM P\L %
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
13.27%
$30,166,423
$5,381,182
17.84%
CI GALAXY ETHEREUM ETF
ETHX/B CN
10.81%
$17,207,740
$4,547,663
26.43%
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUST FUND
U-U CN
3.08%
$32,036,268
$3,760,653
11.74%
BITCOIN ETF
EBIT CN
13.80%
$9,983,735
$1,957,852
19.61%
CI GALAXY BITCOIN ETF
BTCX/B CN
18.88%
$5,399,807
$1,180,668
21.87%
ETHER ETF
ETHR CN
13.18%
$4,343,595
$1,056,809
24.33%
THE BITCOIN FUND
QBTC CN
10.18%
$2,885,293
$758,134
26.28%
BETAPRO CRUDE OIL LEVERGED DAILY BULL ETF
HOU CN
9.05%
$2,787,035
$611,972
21.96%
PURPOSE ETHER ETF
ETHH/B CN
10.52%
$2,144,649
$460,994
21.50%
THE ETHER FUND
QETH-U CN
3.18%
$1,114,390
$350,853
31.48%
While most of the most unprofitable ETFs in November were the most shorted, hedge related, ETFs:
Canadian ETF\Fund Nov MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Nov MTM P\L
MTM P\L %
ISHS S&P/TSX 60 ETF
XIU CN
1.03%
$1,926,404,783
($107,541,178)
-5.58%
ISHS CORE SP/TSX CAPPED ETF
XIC CN
0.30%
$434,026,680
($22,818,748)
-5.26%
BMO S&P/TSX EQUAL WEIGHT BANKS ETF
ZEB CN
0.30%
$114,264,337
($7,066,905)
-6.18%
HORIZONS SP/TSX 60 ETF
HXT CN
0.30%
$96,371,366
($5,186,200)
-5.38%
ISHS S&P/TSX ENERGY ETF
XEG CN
6.18%
$127,571,585
($3,269,679)
-2.56%
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED REIT ETF
XRE CN
5.91%
$21,837,880
($1,969,695)
-9.02%
ISHS CORE MSCI EAFE IMI INDEX ETF
XEF CN
3.10%
$14,217,679
($1,431,900)
-10.07%
ISHS CORE SP 500 ETF
XSP CN
5.52%
$28,352,855
($1,339,720)
-4.73%
BMO SP/TSX CAPPED COMPOSITE ETF
ZCN CN
0.30%
$21,097,462
($1,103,293)
-5.23%
ISHS CHINA INDEX ETF
XCH CN
3.44%
$3,830,040
($1,101,176)
-28.75%
The outright size of some ETF shorts can skew the results when looking at Profit & Loss in dollar terms, looking at Profit & Loss in percentage terms tells us which shorted ETFs had the largest price moves in November. The largest and least profitable shorted ETFs in percentage terms with over $50 million in short interest were:
The most profitable ETF shorts on a percentage basis were:
Canadian ETF Nov MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Nov MTM P\L
MTM P\L %
THE ETHER FUND
QETH-U CN
3.18%
$1,114,390
$350,853
31.48%
CI GALAXY ETHEREUM ETF
ETHX/B CN
10.81%
$17,207,740
$4,547,663
26.43%
THE BITCOIN FUND
QBTC CN
10.18%
$2,885,293
$758,134
26.28%
ETHER ETF
ETHR CN
13.18%
$4,343,595
$1,056,809
24.33%
BETAPRO CRUDE OIL LEVERGED DAILY BULL ETF
HOU CN
9.05%
$2,787,035
$611,972
21.96%
CI GALAXY BITCOIN ETF
BTCX/B CN
18.88%
$5,399,807
$1,180,668
21.87%
PURPOSE ETHER ETF
ETHH/B CN
10.52%
$2,144,649
$460,994
21.50%
BITCOIN ETF
EBIT CN
13.80%
$9,983,735
$1,957,852
19.61%
PURPOSE BITCOIN ETF
BTCC/B CN
13.27%
$30,166,423
$5,381,182
17.84%
SPROTT PHYSICAL URANIUM TRUST FUND
U-U CN
3.08%
$32,036,268
$3,760,653
11.74%
The least profitable ETF shorts on a percentage basis were:
Canadian ETF Nov MTM P\L
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Nov MTM P\L
MTM P\L %
ISHS CHINA INDEX ETF
XCH CN
3.44%
$3,830,040
($1,101,176)
-28.75%
ISHS S&P/TSX GLOBAL BASE METALS ETF
XBM CN
1.12%
$6,606,039
($874,103)
-13.23%
ISHS SP/TSX GLOBAL GOLD ETF
XGD CN
7.24%
$2,948,885
($314,782)
-10.67%
BROMPTON SPLIT BANC CORP FUND
SBC CN
3.17%
$1,239,516
($131,336)
-10.60%
ISHS CORE MSCI EAFE IMI INDEX ETF
XEF CN
3.10%
$14,217,679
($1,431,900)
-10.07%
WEALTHSIMPLE DEV XNA SOC RE
WSRD CN
9.91%
$1,759,223
($177,030)
-10.06%
GLOBAL DIVIDEND GROWTH SPLIT CORP
GDV CN
4.32%
$1,660,751
($158,929)
-9.57%
ISHS S&P/TSX CAPPED REIT ETF
XRE CN
5.91%
$21,837,880
($1,969,695)
-9.02%
DIVIDEND 15 SPLIT CORP A FUND
DFN CN
3.05%
$2,591,858
($208,297)
-8.04%
BMO EQUAL WEIGHT REITS ETF
ZRE CN
4.43%
$4,978,774
($372,028)
-7.47%