Author:
Ihor Dusaniwsky
Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
Matthew Unterman
Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners
Total Auto\Truck Manufacturer sector short interest is $27.6 billion, with the E.V. manufacturers making up $19.5 billion, or 71% of the total short interest. The top three shorts in the sector are Electric Vehicle (E.V.) companies led, as expected, by Tesla Inc (TSLA).
Name
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Fee
Short Interest
TESLA INC
TSLA
2.35%
2.30%
0.30%
$13,303,548,074
RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC
RIVN
10.23%
9.28%
0.57%
$1,692,295,519
LUCID GROUP INC
LCID
22.72%
18.52%
6.82%
$1,628,431,110
FORD MOTOR CO
F
3.53%
3.41%
0.30%
$1,606,495,512
CATERPILLAR INC
CAT
1.21%
1.19%
0.30%
$1,144,902,934
GENERAL MOTORS CO
GM
1.72%
1.69%
0.30%
$804,504,323
NIO INC ADR
NIO
3.79%
3.65%
0.30%
$748,091,075
CUMMINS INC
CMI
2.22%
2.17%
0.30%
$677,032,591
LI AUTO INC ADR
LI
4.03%
3.87%
0.30%
$668,820,175
THOR INDUSTRIES INC
THO
14.85%
12.93%
0.30%
$596,483,008
FERRARI NV
RACE
1.49%
1.46%
0.30%
$355,234,993
FISKER INC
FSR
32.01%
24.25%
18.07%
$351,349,832
PACCAR INC
PCAR
1.15%
1.14%
0.30%
$350,125,174
WINNEBAGO INDS
WGO
19.25%
16.14%
0.30%
$330,111,413
XPENG INC ADR
XPEV
5.22%
4.96%
0.30%
$309,217,380
STELLANTIS NV
STLA
1.15%
1.14%
0.57%
$264,218,209
NIKOLA CORP
NKLA
32.09%
24.30%
8.82%
$263,352,975
WABTEC CORP
WAB
1.39%
1.37%
0.30%
$209,125,404
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP
TOYOF
0.13%
0.13%
0.00%
$158,623,720
ALLISON TRANSMISSION
ALSN
3.79%
3.65%
0.30%
$129,225,311
OSHKOSH CORP
OSK
2.58%
2.51%
0.30%
$126,180,798
TATA MOTORS ADR
TTM
0.70%
0.69%
5.57%
$108,647,582
WORKHORSE GROUP INC
WKHS
24.75%
19.84%
1.69%
$93,341,496
ALSTOM SA
AOMFF
1.30%
1.28%
0.00%
$79,254,389
TRINITY INDUSTRIES
TRN
4.19%
4.02%
0.30%
$77,444,846
Total Auto\Truck Manuf. Short Interest
-
5.45%
4.79%
1.29%
$27,600,898,554
Total E.V. Short Interest
-
6.19%
5.39%
1.63%
$19,518,285,686
Over the past thirty days we saw increased short selling in the sector as stock prices declined. Short interest in the sector declined by $6.4 billion to $27.6 billion, which was made up of a $7.9 billion decline in the stock prices of the shares shorted partially offset by $1.5 billion of new short selling. Rivian Automotive Inc (RIVN) had the largest increase in shares shorted over the last thirty days on the heals of their recall of over 12,000 vehicles due to steering issues.
Name
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC
RIVN
10.23%
9.28%
$1,692,295,519
$283,140,806
FORD MOTOR CO
F
3.53%
3.41%
$1,606,495,512
$213,542,058
CATERPILLAR INC
CAT
1.21%
1.19%
$1,144,902,934
$188,563,676
STELLANTIS NV
STLA
1.15%
1.14%
$264,218,209
$103,361,393
TESLA INC
TSLA
2.35%
2.30%
$13,303,548,074
$90,088,291
FERRARI NV
RACE
1.49%
1.46%
$355,234,993
$79,945,524
LUCID GROUP INC
LCID
22.72%
18.52%
$1,628,431,110
$67,806,059
XPENG INC ADR
XPEV
5.22%
4.96%
$309,217,380
$67,174,066
TOYOTA MOTOR CORP
TOYOF
0.13%
0.13%
$158,623,720
$66,756,787
CUMMINS INC
CMI
2.22%
2.17%
$677,032,591
$59,038,905
FISKER INC
FSR
32.01%
24.25%
$351,349,832
$41,168,479
NIKOLA CORP
NKLA
32.09%
24.30%
$263,352,975
$33,660,685
ALSTOM SA
AOMFF
1.30%
1.28%
$79,254,389
$32,810,026
LI AUTO INC ADR
LI
4.03%
3.87%
$668,820,175
$30,956,394
VOLVO AB B
VOLVF
0.22%
0.22%
$48,645,558
$25,198,410
GENERAL MOTORS CO
GM
1.72%
1.69%
$804,504,323
$19,926,963
VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
VLKPF
0.13%
0.13%
$27,542,945
$19,549,865
KOMATSU LTD
KMTUF
0.27%
0.27%
$42,901,054
$18,887,263
TRINITY INDUSTRIES
TRN
4.19%
4.02%
$77,444,846
$14,789,720
VOLKSWAGEN AG
VLKAF
0.77%
0.77%
$34,560,187
$13,207,491
Name
Ticker
SI % Float
S3 SI % Float
Short Interest
30D Change Shares Shorted
NIO INC ADR
NIO
3.79%
3.65%
$748,091,075
$(41,403,991)
THOR INDUSTRIES INC
THO
14.85%
12.93%
$596,483,008
$(25,615,360)
HONDA MOTOR CO ADR
HMC
0.06%
0.06%
$22,158,139
$(18,315,835)
PACCAR INC
PCAR
1.15%
1.14%
$350,125,174
$(15,676,694)
CANOO INC
GOEV
11.98%
10.70%
$25,317,608
$(13,955,241)
Total Auto\Truck Manuf. Shares Shorted
-
5.45%
4.79%
$27,600,898,554
$1,486,954,663
Shorting the Auto\Truck Manufacturing sector has outperformed the market with short sellers up $20.56 billion in year-to-date mark-to-market profits, up 53.80% on an average short interest of $38.22 billion. Shorting E.V. stocks drastically outperformed the Internal Combustion Engine (I.C.E.) stocks with E.V. shorts up $17.62 billion, +59.68%, versus only $2.94 billion in profits for I.C.E. stocks, up 33.83% for the year.
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
YTD MTM P\L $
P\L %
TESLA INC
TSLA
0.34%
$20,407,409,144
$8,661,190,073
42.44%
RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC
RIVN
2.06%
$1,854,970,777
$2,473,075,842
133.32%
LUCID GROUP INC
LCID
11.53%
$2,463,259,264
$2,371,131,917
96.26%
NIO INC ADR
NIO
0.30%
$1,342,811,992
$1,097,930,649
81.76%
FORD MOTOR CO
F
0.30%
$1,588,548,645
$1,003,369,545
63.16%
GENERAL MOTORS CO
GM
0.30%
$1,154,283,936
$742,437,484
64.32%
XPENG INC ADR
XPEV
0.30%
$485,104,308
$728,317,883
150.14%
NIKOLA CORP
NKLA
9.93%
$512,337,776
$450,891,968
88.01%
LI AUTO INC ADR
LI
0.30%
$785,454,376
$385,907,041
49.13%
FISKER INC
FSR
12.39%
$530,333,719
$362,411,291
68.34%
ARRIVAL GROUP
ARVL
2.84%
$83,822,529
$180,491,531
215.33%
CANOO INC
GOEV
22.12%
$139,741,409
$175,238,853
125.40%
CATERPILLAR INC
CAT
0.30%
$1,085,092,688
$174,941,112
16.12%
THOR INDUSTRIES INC
THO
0.30%
$619,944,164
$146,507,795
23.63%
FERRARI NV
RACE
0.30%
$313,844,585
$99,411,303
31.68%
STELLANTIS NV
STLA
0.50%
$224,328,392
$98,354,219
43.84%
MULLEN AUTOMOTIVE INC
MULN
18.57%
$38,458,293
$84,733,601
220.33%
OSHKOSH CORP
OSK
0.30%
$174,695,001
$76,470,934
43.77%
WINNEBAGO INDS
WGO
0.30%
$291,462,323
$72,682,122
24.94%
HYZON MOTORS INC
HYZN
7.81%
$58,668,216
$67,935,695
115.80%
WORKHORSE GROUP INC
WKHS
1.45%
$135,297,136
$66,284,754
48.99%
MICROVAST HOLDINGS INC
MVST
19.18%
$70,233,417
$63,608,855
90.57%
HYLIION HOLDINGS CORP
HYLN
0.83%
$59,039,474
$61,606,362
104.35%
FARADAY FUTURE INTELLIGENT ELECTRIC
FFIE
46.60%
$73,093,335
$60,988,504
83.44%
LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP
RIDE
1.89%
$93,022,834
$59,785,339
64.27%
There were only three stocks in the Auto\Truck Manufacturing sector with year-to-date mark-to-market losses in 2022:
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
YTD MTM P\L $
P\L %
MERITOR INC ACQUIRED
N.A.
0.30%
$171,974,319
$(32,553,488)
-18.93%
CUMMINS INC
CMI
0.30%
$510,120,048
$(8,402,006)
-1.65%
FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP
FSS
0.30%
$34,490,033
$(3,954,251)
-11.46%
Auto\Truck Manufacturer YTD MTM P\L
-
-
$38,217,631,307
$20,562,520,663
53.80%
E.V. YTD MTM P\L
-
-
$29,527,114,779
$17,622,412,400
59.68%
I.C.E. YTD MTM P\L
-
-
$8,690,516,528
$2,940,108,263
33.83%
Since September 12, the day RIVN announced its recall, Auto\Truck Manufacturer short sellers are up 27.59% on an average short interest of $32.38 billion. Once again E.V. shorts outperformed I.C.E shorts during this time period.
The most profitable Auto\Truck Manufacturer stocks from Sept. 12th to Oct. 11th are:
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Sept 12 MTM P\L
P\L %
TESLA INC
TSLA
0.30%
$17,001,293,642
$5,473,838,897
32.20%
NIO INC ADR
NIO
0.30%
$1,054,524,266
$536,920,923
50.92%
FORD MOTOR CO
F
0.30%
$1,742,042,630
$534,537,231
30.68%
LUCID GROUP INC
LCID
8.02%
$1,867,385,192
484,260,554
25.93%
RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC
RIVN
0.55%
$1,697,186,693
$297,266,569
17.52%
GENERAL MOTORS CO
GM
0.30%
$913,444,828
$251,838,724
27.57%
LI AUTO INC ADR
LI
0.30%
$781,581,119
$212,757,347
27.22%
XPENG INC ADR
XPEV
0.30%
$384,928,389
$207,368,749
53.87%
NIKOLA CORP
NKLA
8.11%
$337,668,664
$196,099,985
58.07%
FISKER INC
FSR
17.92%
$394,099,858
$99,345,817
25.21%
CATERPILLAR INC
CAT
0.30%
$1,043,974,765
$62,626,602
6.00%
THOR INDUSTRIES INC
THO
0.30%
$560,270,424
$46,847,582
8.36%
STELLANTIS NV
STLA
0.70%
$235,833,268
$35,540,428
15.07%
CANOO INC
GOEV
10.50%
$57,275,487
$35,062,864
61.22%
FERRARI NV
RACE
0.35%
$335,940,166
$31,477,865
9.37%
DAIMLER AG
DDAIF
0.94%
$179,610,502
$29,595,710
16.48%
WORKHORSE GROUP INC
WKHS
1.69%
$108,243,480
$29,175,067
26.95%
WINNEBAGO INDS
WGO
0.30%
$316,244,257
$28,111,637
8.89%
TATA MOTORS ADR
TTM
5.41%
$113,355,836
$22,782,424
20.10%
LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP
RIDE
3.19%
$73,362,920
$19,298,076
26.30%
WABTEC CORP
WAB
0.30%
$205,508,808
$19,109,013
9.30%
FARADAY FUTURE INTELLIGENT ELECTRIC
FFIE
5.38%
$28,485,423
$17,951,492
63.02%
MULLEN AUTOMOTIVE INC
MULN
10.83%
$20,635,761
$16,323,635
79.10%
PROTERRA INC
PTRA
0.83%
$60,348,276
$15,083,504
24.99%
OSHKOSH CORP
OSK
0.30%
$127,791,145
$13,242,884
10.36%
There were only three stocks in the Auto\Truck Manufacturing sector with mark-to-market losses over $1 million from Sept 12th to Oct 11th:
Name
Ticker
Avg Fee
Avg Short Interest
Sept 12 MTM P\L
P\L %
WABASH NATL CORP
WNC
0.30%
$54,405,508
$(1,240,850)
-2.28%
FEDERAL SIGNAL CORP
FSS
0.30%
$35,405,631
$(1,298,526)
-3.67%
CUMMINS INC
CMI
0.30%
$624,775,628
$(4,132,765)
-0.66%
Total Auto\Truck Manuf. Sept 12 - Oct 11 MTM P\L
-
-
$32,380,282,799
$8,934,732,126
27.59%
E.V. Sept 12 - Oct 11 MTM P\L
-
-
$24,179,605,382
$7,736,688,491
32.00%
I.C.E. Sept 12 - Oct 11 MTM P\L
-
-
$8,200,677,417
$1,198,043,635
14.61%
There are only a handful of Crowded shorts in the Auto\Truck Manufacturer sector, all of which are E.V. companies.
Name
Ticker
Short Interest
S3 Crowded Score
LUCID GROUP INC
LCID
$ 1,628,431,110
90.00
FISKER INC
FSR
$ 351,349,832
90.00
HYZON MOTORS INC
HYZN
$ 35,288,204
85.00
LIGHTNING EMOTORS INC
ZEV
$ 11,778,888
85.00
NIKOLA CORP
NKLA
$ 263,352,975
82.50
WORKHORSE GROUP INC
WKHS
$ 93,341,496
80.00
LORDSTOWN MOTORS CORP
RIDE
$ 64,976,478
80.00
After $8.19 billion of new short selling in the first half of the year we started seeing short covering in June ($3.0 billion of short covering) and July ($4.43 billion of short covering). In September\October we saw the return of short selling in the sector with $1.76 billion of new short selling. With Auto\Truck Manufacturing shorts up 7.7% over the last week we should see increased short selling in the sector as short sellers continue to “top up” their positions in winning trades.