Most Profitable September U.S. Shorts

    Author:

    Ihor Dusaniwsky

    Managing Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

    Matthew Unterman

    Director of Predictive Analytics, S3 Partners

    October 2, 2023

    U.S. markets were down significantly in September with the larger cap S&P 500 down -4.87%, the tech leaning Nasdaq down -5.81% and the broad Russell 3000 down -4.87%. This widespread weakness in stocks is reflected by short-side profitability in every sector besides Energy and Misc. (SPACs) in the month of September. Overall short sellers were up $50.33 billion in month-to-date mark-to-market profits, up 5.45% for the month with seven sectors topping 6% returns led by the Real Estate, Information Technology and Health Care sectors.

    Only three out of ten shorted stocks produced negative returns in September, and short sellers leaned into their more profitable trades and put less capital in their unprofitable positions with 81% of every dollar shorted producing positive returns.

    Sector

    Average September Short Interest

    September MTM P\L

    P\L %

    Communication Services

    $64,069,041,831

    $2,517,043,125

    3.93%

    Consumer Discretionary

    $149,894,002,924

    $9,005,557,830

    6.01%

    Consumer Staples

    $41,019,362,391

    $2,479,398,074

    6.04%

    Energy

    $75,506,966,436

    ($973,538,903)

    -1.29%

    Financials

    $113,725,530,753

    $4,577,512,868

    4.03%

    Health Care

    $117,208,334,227

    $7,737,773,723

    6.60%

    Industrials

    $98,949,155,237

    $6,467,277,565

    6.54%

    Information Technology

    $174,333,093,266

    $12,130,613,279

    6.96%

    Materials

    $34,815,225,442

    $2,070,514,248

    5.95%

    Misc. (SPACs)

    $72,645,705

    ($1,006,759)

    -1.39%

    Real Estate

    $35,180,382,016

    $3,040,663,030

    8.64%

    Utilities

    $19,413,833,243

    $1,277,156,689

    6.58%

    Grand Total

    $924,187,573,470

    $50,328,964,772

    5.45%

    The most profitable short trades on a dollar basis were by led by tech stocks:

    U.S. Sept. Most Profitable Shorts

    Ticker

    Avg Short Interest

    Sept. MTM P\L

    P\L %

    APPLE INC

    AAPL

    $19,052,975,585

    $1,778,590,550

    9.33%

    NVIDIA CORP

    NVDA

    $11,776,885,725

    $1,485,547,591

    12.61%

    AMAZON.COM INC

    AMZN

    $10,496,771,301

    $872,783,113

    8.31%

    TESLA INC

    TSLA

    $21,761,693,064

    $722,589,297

    3.32%

    BROADCOM INC

    AVGO

    $5,195,687,625

    $560,822,386

    10.79%

    VISA INC

    V

    $7,608,086,709

    $494,109,649

    6.49%

    NETFLIX INC

    NFLX

    $3,624,198,767

    $491,398,296

    13.56%

    MICROSOFT CORP

    MSFT

    $13,067,668,995

    $482,258,091

    3.69%

    SHOPIFY INC

    SHOP

    $1,580,309,611

    $311,426,705

    19.71%

    RH

    RH

    $885,978,208

    $289,686,836

    32.70%

    APPLIED MATERIALS INC

    AMAT

    $2,805,487,126

    $280,752,549

    10.01%

    CELCIUS HOLDINGS

    CELH

    $2,072,155,347

    $276,861,194

    13.36%

    CARVANA CO

    CVNA

    $1,580,615,657

    $275,261,139

    17.41%

    HOME DEPOT INC

    HD

    $3,103,517,212

    $274,225,911

    8.84%

    ALIBABA GROUP ADR

    BABA

    $3,829,960,474

    $262,294,692

    6.85%

    ALPHABET INC A

    GOOGL

    $6,349,517,685

    $244,207,542

    3.85%

    BLOCK INC

    SQ

    $927,874,002

    $242,664,507

    26.15%

    BOEING COMPANY

    BA

    $1,544,058,596

    $239,549,773

    15.51%

    MEDICAL PROPERTIES TRUST INC

    MPW

    $828,954,108

    $235,236,020

    28.38%

    CARNIVAL CORP

    CCL

    $1,648,946,531

    $232,764,890

    14.12%

    While the least profitable trades had a large sprinkling of energy stocks:

    U.S. Sept. Least Profitable Shorts

    Ticker

    Avg Short Interest

    Sept. MTM P\L

    P\L %

    EXXON MOBIL CORP

    XOM

    $4,905,886,323

    ($253,410,038)

    -5.17%

    UNITEDHEALTH GRP

    UNH

    $2,907,246,964

    ($167,727,618)

    -5.77%

    PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC

    PLTR

    $2,339,321,468

    ($158,536,988)

    -6.78%

    WILLIAMS-SONOMA INC

    WSM

    $1,376,506,270

    ($135,850,055)

    -9.87%

    RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC

    RIVN

    $2,008,831,550

    ($135,236,005)

    -6.73%

    META PLATFORMS INC

    META

    $9,255,520,739

    ($133,945,177)

    -1.45%

    SPLUNK INC

    SPLK

    $663,740,645

    ($125,335,716)

    -18.88%

    CHEVRON CORP

    CVX

    $2,757,742,275

    ($117,831,884)

    -4.27%

    VALERO ENERGY CORP

    VLO

    $1,414,495,379

    ($115,624,496)

    -8.17%

    SEA LTD ADR

    SE

    $689,765,852

    ($112,698,000)

    -16.34%

    MARATHON PETRO

    MPC

    $1,988,131,378

    ($112,361,525)

    -5.65%

    OCCIDENTAL PETRO

    OXY

    $3,210,042,231

    ($108,153,394)

    -3.37%

    TMOBILE US INC

    TMUS

    $3,813,798,620

    ($100,593,986)

    -2.64%

    INTERCEPT PHARMA

    ICPT

    $144,085,240

    ($93,042,484)

    -64.57%

    MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC

    MBLY

    $565,602,903

    ($90,753,694)

    -16.05%

    PBF ENERGY INC

    PBF

    $638,321,915

    ($82,977,391)

    -13.00%

    NIKOLA CORP

    NKLA

    $213,918,173

    ($82,366,173)

    -38.50%

    IMMUNOVANT INC

    IMVT

    $126,332,370

    ($79,968,863)

    -63.30%

    AIRBNB INC

    ABNB

    $3,252,685,952

    ($79,873,672)

    -2.46%

    DELL TECHNOLOGIES INC

    DELL

    $590,527,817

    ($78,644,843)

    -13.32%

    Mark-to-market P\L is dominated by the larger cap stocks with very large short interest. We can also look at short-side profitability on a percentage return basis which will include more smaller cap names. The most profitable shorted stocks with over $100 million of short interest are:

    U.S. Sept. Most Profitable Shorts

    Ticker

    Avg Short Interest

    Sept. MTM P\L

    P\L %

    ACELYRIN INC.

    SLRN

    $106,248,814

    $95,420,454

    89.81%

    MORPHIC HOLDING INC

    MORF

    $141,625,282

    $101,373,302

    71.58%

    PTC THERAPEUTICS INC

    PTCT

    $235,553,053

    $126,042,081

    53.51%

    OVERSTOCK.COM INC

    OSTK

    $104,064,372

    $53,500,112

    51.41%

    AMC ENTERTAINMENT HLDGS INC

    AMC

    $210,440,165

    $106,927,978

    50.81%

    PURECYCLE TECHNOLOGIES INC

    PCT

    $204,772,745

    $93,236,710

    45.53%

    TRAVERE THERAPEUTICS INC

    TVTX

    $109,308,776

    $48,668,487

    44.52%

    NEXTERA ENERGY PARTNERS LP

    NEP

    $134,675,544

    $55,728,146

    41.38%

    MARATHON DIGITAL HLDGS INC

    MARA

    $517,322,125

    $207,812,397

    40.17%

    VIASAT INC

    VSAT

    $208,845,176

    $83,745,749

    40.10%

    REVANCE THERAPEUTICS INC

    RVNC

    $217,299,383

    $86,675,591

    39.89%

    EOS ENERGY ENTERPRISES INC

    EOSE

    $101,404,139

    $39,680,432

    39.13%

    OPENDOOR TECHNOLOGIES INC

    OPEN

    $218,828,159

    $84,220,930

    38.49%

    CAVA GROUP INC

    CAVA

    $333,558,621

    $121,471,953

    36.42%

    ROCKET LAB USA INC

    RKLB

    $107,166,230

    $38,863,452

    36.26%

    CHARGEPOINT HOLDINGS INC

    CHPT

    $416,580,384

    $150,780,387

    36.19%

    VIRGIN GALACTIC HOLDINGS

    SPCE

    $134,342,459

    $46,518,302

    34.63%

    LIGHTWAVE LOGIC INC

    LWLG

    $116,084,146

    $39,335,544

    33.89%

    RH

    RH

    $885,978,208

    $289,686,836

    32.70%

    MASTEC INC

    MTZ

    $249,464,435

    $79,816,645

    32.00%

    The least profitable shorted stocks with over $100 million of short interest are:

    U.S. Sept. Least Profitable Shorts

    Ticker

    Avg Short Interest

    Sept. MTM P\L

    P\L %

    INTERCEPT PHARMA

    ICPT

    $144,085,240

    ($93,042,484)

    -64.57%

    IMMUNOVANT INC

    IMVT

    $126,332,370

    ($79,968,863)

    -63.30%

    CRINETICS PHARMACEUTICALS

    CRNX

    $105,517,064

    ($55,790,619)

    -52.87%

    NIKOLA CORP

    NKLA

    $213,918,173

    ($82,366,173)

    -38.50%

    ELASTIC NV

    ESTC

    $142,188,108

    ($38,855,031)

    -27.33%

    TAL EDUCATION GROUP ADR

    TAL

    $183,540,698

    ($48,621,896)

    -26.49%

    ARCH RESOURCES INC

    ARCH

    $226,805,330

    ($59,238,623)

    -26.12%

    WARRIOR MET COAL INC

    HCC

    $148,835,110

    ($37,122,234)

    -24.94%

    ALPHA METALLURGICAL RESOURCES

    AMR

    $228,506,685

    ($53,352,297)

    -23.35%

    ROCKET PHARMACEUTICALS INC

    RCKT

    $163,309,266

    ($35,339,229)

    -21.64%

    ALTERYX INC

    AYX

    $164,340,324

    ($35,548,004)

    -21.63%

    CONSOL ENERGY INC

    CEIX

    $247,103,065

    ($48,759,019)

    -19.73%

    PEABODY ENERGY CORP

    BTU

    $384,204,938

    ($73,623,476)

    -19.16%

    SPLUNK INC

    SPLK

    $663,740,645

    ($125,335,716)

    -18.88%

    DESIGNER BRANDS INC

    DBI

    $103,588,440

    ($18,437,416)

    -17.80%

    SEA LTD ADR

    SE

    $689,765,852

    ($112,698,000)

    -16.34%

    MIRUM PHARMACEUTICALS INC

    MIRM

    $161,882,878

    ($26,432,293)

    -16.33%

    MIRATI THERAPEUTICS INC

    MRTX

    $345,706,997

    ($56,318,840)

    -16.29%

    MOBILEYE GLOBAL INC

    MBLY

    $565,602,903

    ($90,753,694)

    -16.05%

    URANIUM ENERGY CORP

    UEC

    $167,140,513

    ($24,965,070)

    -14.94%

    Overall equity short interest in the U.S. market decreased by $23.6 billion to $906.1 billion. This decrease was made up of a $51.2 billion mark-to-market decline in the value of the share shorted partially offset by $27.6 billion of new short selling. The increased short selling in September coupled with long side selling drove down stock prices during the month, but if markets rebound in the fourth quarter, we may see a spurt of short covering in some of the most profitable names as short sellers look to realize mark-to-market profits.

    Stocks with increased short selling and large mark-to-market profits over the last thirty days and could see short covering in a year-end market rebound as short sellers try and realize their profits are: AAPL, TSLA, MSFT, AMZN, AVGO, TSCO and NVDA. Stocks with increased short covering and mark-to-market losses over the last thirty days and could see continued increased short covering in a year-end market rebound as short sellers continued to get squeezed are: SPLK, OXY, AMGN, ZS, CVS, VEEV, TNET, X and HZNP.

    Our Blacklight SaaS platform and Black App provides an up-to-date view of short selling and short covering on an equity, sector, index, or country-wide basis allowing investors\traders to better manage their existing long and short positions.

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